Mérida AD U19 vs UD Fuente de Cantos Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+209%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
9º
4º
29
9º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 79 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 67 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 65 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 63 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 56 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 55 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 46 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
49% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDB
4 - 1
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 4
MER
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
CAC
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ZAF
1 - 0
MER
24%
20%
56%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CPA
0 - 2
MER
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fuente de Cantos Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FDC
1 - 3
CPA
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FDC
1 - 1
LCV
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 0
FDC
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FDC
5 - 3
OLI
69%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 1
FDC
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |