Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Mérida CP vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MER
3 - 2
FCB
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
UDL
0 - 2
MER
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
TOM
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
MER
1 - 1
CAS
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
LLE
2 - 2
MER
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
TOM
3 - 1
CDR
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
GET
1 - 0
TOM
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
TOM
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
TOM
2 - 1
ORI
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 0
TOM
49%
29%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |