Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-1
Mérida CP vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MER
2 - 0
CDT
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LEV
3 - 1
MER
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MER
1 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 0
MER
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ELC
2 - 1
MER
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 1
ECI
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
MOT
3 - 3
TAL
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
TAL
2 - 0
COR
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
TAL
1 - 0
MER
24%
29%
47%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
TAL
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |