Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-6
Mérida CP vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
MER
1 - 0
OLI
79%
16%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
MER
0 - 0
SNV
78%
16%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
GUA
1 - 7
MER
17%
27%
57%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
71%
20%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
UCL
0 - 0
MER
18%
27%
55%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
SEV
0 - 0
SPO
48%
28%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SEV
4 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CEL
1 - 2
SEV
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
SEV
2 - 2
RMA
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
BAL
2 - 0
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |