Mérida CP vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ALB
4 - 0
MER
77%
15%
7%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
MER
1 - 1
TEL
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
MEL
1 - 0
MER
56%
26%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
MER
2 - 2
TOM
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
CDT
1 - 1
MER
16%
25%
59%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
RJA
1 - 2
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
RJA
3 - 1
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CDT
2 - 2
RJA
18%
27%
55%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
UTR
0 - 0
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |