Mérida CP vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
ATB
0 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MER
3 - 0
MLL
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
UDL
1 - 0
MER
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
MER
0 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
EIB
1 - 0
MER
27%
32%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RAY
2 - 1
REC
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
CDO
1 - 2
RAY
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
RAY
1 - 4
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
COM
1 - 3
RAY
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
RAY
1 - 1
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |