Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-0
Mérida CP vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
RMC
2 - 2
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
VIL
2 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
MER
1 - 3
FCB
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1992 |
JER
0 - 3
MER
28%
23%
48%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
PAL
1 - 0
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
JER
2 - 0
CDB
67%
21%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
MCB
1 - 2
JER
51%
26%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
JER
0 - 0
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1992 |
JER
0 - 3
MER
28%
23%
48%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
CDS
0 - 0
JER
40%
28%
32%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |