Mérida CP vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 3
MER
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
MER
0 - 0
MLL
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
CDB
0 - 0
MER
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
MER
2 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
MER
4 - 0
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CDT
3 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
OSA
2 - 2
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 1
GET
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
RAY
2 - 0
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 2
SLA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |