AD Mérida vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 2
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 1
REC
26%
28%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAD
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAD
1 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAD
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VRU
0 - 0
UCA
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
VRU
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VRU
1 - 1
TAL
23%
26%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
VRU
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VRU
0 - 0
CCF
12%
22%
66%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |