AD Mérida vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
MAD
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ROD
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CRD
2 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCV
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |