AD Mérida vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
COR
62%
24%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NUM
0 - 1
MAD
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 2
MAD
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
XER
50%
27%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAD
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
SDT
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOR
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
EMD
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
0 - 3
MOR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +2 |