Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 4-1
AD Mérida vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAD
17%
25%
57%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 3
MAD
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAD
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 2
SRQ
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CAD
5 - 0
JUM
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
JUM
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JUM
2 - 2
LIN
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 3
MAD
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
JUM
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |