AD Mérida vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
81.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 2
NUC
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MAD
0 - 1
CAR
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UCA
0 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 0
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TAL
2 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
OSA
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 1
CEL
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
CEL
3%
11%
86%
|
83 | 19 | 64 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 2
MLL
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LEG
3 - 2
CEL
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |