AD Mérida vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAD
70%
18%
11%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MAD
71%
20%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
RJA
32%
30%
39%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAD
65%
21%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 0
ALM
30%
29%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 1
ALG
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 0
ALG
77%
17%
7%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 1
ALG
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |