Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-1
AD Mérida vs San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MAD
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
AVI
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
MAD
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
MAD
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MAD
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ASJ
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
46%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASJ
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
ASJ
9%
18%
74%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CEU
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |