Merelinense vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 0
MER
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 2
MER
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
ACV
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ACV
2 - 0
MER
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 2
MER
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 2
VIL
61%
24%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
6 - 0
TMO
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
17%
22%
62%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |