Merelinense vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MER
4 - 5
FAF
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
TIR
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
OSL
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
TIR
26%
29%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |