Merelinense vs Pevidém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
12º
9º
43
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
BRI
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MER
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 1
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
PED
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 2
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
DUM
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |