Merelinense vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
6 - 0
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
LOU
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
OSL
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 4
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |