Merelinense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
TRO
20%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MER
2 - 2
PED
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
PED
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
ADO
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VIZ
3 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAI
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |