Merelinense vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MER
4 - 1
PED
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OSL
0 - 0
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
MER
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
VIL
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 3
MER
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
LEX
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LEX
0 - 0
GFC
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PED
0 - 1
LEX
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
LEX
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LEX
0 - 0
VIZ
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |