Merelinense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UDL
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FAR
4 - 0
FCM
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |