Merelinense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
6 - 0
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
34%
29%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
FAF
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAF
0 - 1
OSL
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAF
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |