Merelinense vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
12º
9º
31
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
2 - 2
MER
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
MER
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
3 - 4
RAB
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
4 - 1
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 72 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 2
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
3 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
REA
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +3 |