Merelinense vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
MER
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
ATA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 6
MER
10%
17%
73%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
CAM
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 1
PED
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ATA
1 - 1
ADO
20%
20%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
3 - 0
MIN
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
ADO
19%
19%
61%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |