Merelinense vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
MER
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MER
2 - 0
SAL
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 2
ADO
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 3
AMA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
ADO
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PED
1 - 2
ADO
16%
23%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |