Merelinense U17 vs Padroense FC U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
61.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
9º
7º
24
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
BOA
18%
19%
64%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
FAM
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
RIO
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MER
3 - 1
PAÇ
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padroense FC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
MAR
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRA
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
5 - 0
PAD
71%
15%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 3
POR
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 2
PAD
8%
13%
79%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |