Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
MER
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MER
0 - 5
GEN
6%
15%
79%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 3
APP
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLS
0 - 3
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dessel Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DES
3 - 2
BLA
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
KRC
15%
16%
69%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TIE
0 - 4
DES
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DES
1 - 4
OLY
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DES
1 - 1
SIN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |