Merelbeke vs Cappellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
14º
15º
14º
20
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 42 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 28 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
MER
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
HEI
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DES
3 - 1
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NIN
2 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
RAF
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 2
OHL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
CAP
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 2
RAF
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 5
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
NIN
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |