Mercer vs UNCG analysis


21	ELO	29
-0.9%	Tilt	0.2%
46225º	General ELO ranking	47263º
699º	Country ELO ranking	837º
ELO win probability

23.8%

Mercer

20.7%

Draw

55.5%

UNCG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

23.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%

20.7%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

20.7%

55.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%