Mercer vs Furman Paladins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
MEB
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MEB
3 - 1
WFT
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
FPD
1 - 0
MEB
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VMI
1 - 3
MEB
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MEB
0 - 1
ETS
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Furman Paladins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FPD
1 - 3
BBR
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FPD
0 - 0
WFT
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BBR
0 - 3
FPD
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
FPD
6 - 0
VMI
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
FPD
1 - 0
MEB
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |