Mercer vs Belmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MEB
5 - 0
VMI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
3 - 0
MEB
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ETS
0 - 0
MEB
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEB
1 - 0
FPD
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
MEB
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Belmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BBR
2 - 1
UNC
35%
22%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
WFT
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VMI
0 - 5
BBR
6%
13%
80%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FPD
2 - 1
BBR
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BBR
1 - 0
ETS
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |