Mercadal vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CDS
0 - 4
MER
22%
22%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
SRF
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
MER
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MNU
0 - 2
MER
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 0
MNU
67%
20%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
PBL
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 1
UDA
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 0
PBL
30%
26%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PBL
2 - 1
CLL
54%
24%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |