Mercadal vs Manacor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
16º
11º
28
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 39 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
61.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 16 |
18º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MER
1 - 2
JOR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MER
3 - 2
SNF
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MER
3 - 0
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 1
MER
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manacor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MNC
3 - 2
PIN
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFP
1 - 1
MNC
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MNC
0 - 2
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
3 - 1
MNC
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BNS
2 - 1
MNC
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |