Mercadal vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CFP
1 - 0
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FLN
3 - 1
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
SDF
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
CDS
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SRF
1 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
FLN
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SDF
0 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CON
0 - 3
ATB
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CON
0 - 9
MLL
9%
21%
70%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | -1 |