Mercadal vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
MER
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
PBL
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 0
MER
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SDF
2 - 3
MER
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
FER
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CLL
1 - 4
SDF
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
CLL
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 2
CAM
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MNU
0 - 1
CLL
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CLL
3 - 0
SRF
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |