Mercadal vs CD Migjorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
16º
13º
0
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 70 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 53 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
41% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
ALC
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SNF
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IBI
3 - 0
MER
83%
13%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
FLN
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CFP
2 - 3
MER
65%
22%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
CD Migjorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CFP
4 - 0
MJG
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MJG
0 - 1
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MJG
2 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MJG
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MJG
5 - 0
NTÑ
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |