Mercadal vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
ATB
18%
25%
57%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
3 - 3
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
PCE
52%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 0
MER
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
SLL
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 4
MNU
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
UDA
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |