Mercadal vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
PXD
22%
27%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MNU
2 - 4
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
UDC
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
PBL
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 1
CDS
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDG
3 - 1
ATL
47%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDR
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
UDA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CEE
0 - 2
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |