Mercadal vs Andratx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
13º
10º
57
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 89% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JOR
0 - 1
MER
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
MNC
26%
23%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLL
1 - 2
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PIN
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Andratx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
BNS
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
AND
12%
21%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AND
4 - 0
PBL
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JOR
0 - 2
AND
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AND
0 - 0
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |