David Kipiani Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MER
3 - 2
CHI
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WIT
3 - 0
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
ZUG
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 4
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 0
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
BET
0 - 1
SAM
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
DBA
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 4
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 4
SAM
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |