David Kipiani Cup Last 16
Global 0-2
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FTK
4 - 0
MER
67%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
MER
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
WIT
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
SHU
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 3
SAM
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
TSK
39%
28%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHK
1 - 2
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |