Merani Martvili vs Merani Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
9º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
WIT
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
GAR
5 - 1
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
LOK
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Merani Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 5
DIN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 0
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 5
KOL
29%
24%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
KOL
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WIT
5 - 1
NOR
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |