Merani Martvili vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
9º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
7 - 3
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
MER
65%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
4 - 2
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SIO
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
MER
40%
24%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 1
DIN
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
LOK
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
GAR
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOK
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
KOL
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |