Merani Martvili vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
9º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 3
MER
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 2
DIN
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 1
LOK
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
LOK
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 1
KOL
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
WIT
4 - 1
LOK
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |