Merani Martvili vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
9º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
5 - 0
MER
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
17%
21%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCI
4 - 0
MER
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 3
DIN
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 0
GAR
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
GAR
5 - 1
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GAR
0 - 1
KOL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |