Merani Martvili vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
9º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
MER
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
KOL
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 2
WIT
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
46%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
DTB
9%
21%
70%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
GAR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
GAR
0 - 0
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAR
63%
18%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAR
58%
21%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |