SV Meppen vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
12º
3º
9
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Meppen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
WER
4 - 1
MEP
36%
23%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
0 - 2
MEP
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
3 - 1
JED
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 2
MEP
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
5 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JED
3 - 2
LUB
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 4
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
LUB
45%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
WEI
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 2
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |