SV Meppen vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
3º
17
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 53 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Meppen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MEP
4 - 0
OTT
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
MEP
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
4 - 0
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 0
MEP
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEP
3 - 0
LUB
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 4
STP
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 3
HOL
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
WER
26%
22%
53%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 3
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |