CD Mensajero vs Unión Puerto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
37
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
CDT
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 3
PAN
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UDS
1 - 2
CDM
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
COR
3 - 2
CDM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 2
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Puerto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
UPR
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UPR
4 - 1
CSU
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SDT
3 - 0
UPR
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UPR
2 - 0
CDB
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
VER
1 - 0
UPR
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |